Impossible to say. The number of moving pieces in politics at that scale would be difficult for me to judge if I'd been immersed in them for the last couple of years. As all I know about it is what I've seen on the forums and what a few kind souls have answered for me privately, I can't tell. Maybe they've made a deal with Tara to split Carelia and Caergoth between them and new colonies. Maybe the bad blood between them and Caergoth could be set aside for the right price. Maybe Suville is about to dissolve into a civil war.
I highly doubt all of those but I am biased as a Carelian.
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