FWIW, I can't speak to either the first or second duchal allegiance change, but I changed Tranquil in a "what's best for my region" move. It's been hard enough keeping it from going rogue and losing it that it would be pretty impossible with no capital and no adjacent regions. Not a merger on my part. My character is still new enough to that area that he has no real vested interest in any realm at all yet. And it was not discussed in-realm to have been a merger in any way either.