Why would we go to war with realms that sell us food? That's obviously bad for business.
We do fight Monsters occasionally, but now I'm seeing lulls where Monsters do not spawn anywhere near us for weeks. Did the rogue spawning code get a tweak lately?
Nope, no tweaks.
You're in D'Hara? Your eastern border is a set of single regions in a corridor, which means that monsters are less likely to get in that way. Your western border is in the southwest, which is becoming much less monster-ified due to the expansion of civilization in that area.
If Aurvandil falls, expect to see more again.