I'd be surprised if OW declared for anyone other then the south considering how poorly the Northern realm's treat them. Then again, they are stuck up there so it'd be smart to play neutral for a while.
I would be pleasantly surprised if they declared for the north, extremely happy if they declared for the south, and weary if they declare neutral. As it were, they declared neutral and I'm now extremely alert as to what their next move will be.
Oh come now. That's just silly.
What is Kindara a victim of? Bad negotiations and tough terms? Not to mention the offending party declared war first; it is without a doubt that Cathay earns the victim title.