Message #97406

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Dwilight currently produces 226% of its demand.

This isn't accurate. Dwilight, in autumn right now, produces roughly 150% of demand. Based on seasonal modifiers, this amount changes to:

• Summer: 125%
• Spring: 93%
• Winter: 63%

This comes out to a yearly production of about 108% of demand.

This is much, much worse than the 13% figure being quoted in this thread and is the real reason droughts and winter are so serious.

By your own calculation, people on Dwilight have been stockpiling food for almost 8 years to reach the current storage. That is impossible.

Impossible at the current rate, yes. However, I do believe you have forgotten that you had the food production lowered... which means that most of that storage was from before you lowered production.

Seasons are the confounding factor here. As described above, these stocks come from the recent summer and now autumn. The island, as a whole, produces extremely large surpluses in these two seasons, but is at a deficit in the other two. It is through the two seasons of deficit that the summer/autumn stocks are consumed, and at the end of the seasonal year we can expect a surplus of about 5000 bushels per year. 5000 bushels, in the face of drought, is not much.