bad luck or bug, in tournament training?

[Poliorketes]

A Question: I have been training with the lance in the last tournament, six times with no success... Someone has made it? If nobody has been successfully with the training, it could be a bug... if not, it's only a severe case of bad luck! 

[Chenier]

A Question: I have been training with the lance in the last tournament, six times with no success... Someone has made it? If nobody has been successfully with the training, it could be a bug... if not, it's only a severe case of bad luck! 

First try was a success, second was a failure, for me. For swordfighting, at least.

[Poliorketes]

It was bad luck, at the 7 time it worked! 

... If you upgrade your skills in the seventh chance in the seventh tournament of the new era... ... ... something incredible will happen!!! Mwa, mawahaaaa! (evil laugh) 

[Eirikr]

As mentioned in another thread (and I believe it applied to tourney training as well), failures are not complete failures. Each failure actually increases your chance of success by a small amount. So in most cases, it is just bad luck. Technically, unless failures can grant you 100% chance of success, you could theoretically be very unlucky and never succeed.

[Tom]

Technically, unless failures can grant you 100% chance of success, you could theoretically be very unlucky and never succeed.

Actually, I've made sure that can't happen. Sooner or later, you are guaranteed to succeed. It could be quite a while, depending on your skill level (higher skills take longer to raise) we might be talking about several dozen training sessions, but sooner or later you will.

[Eirikr]

Oh, that's good to know.

I mean, it's very unlikely, in fact nearly impossible for you to fail so many times in a row if the chance to succeed is always increasing. Even if it stops at 80% chance to succeed, you're almost definitely going to get it. In a manner of speaking, math does the work for you. The safeguards probably just keep the time reasonable.