Indirik, have you lost all faith?
Yes. I held out for a year or two, knowing that perhaps the ongoing conflicts might open the cracks and break it up.
Unfortunately, the League has proven to be completely immune to any kind of change. Multiple opportunities have come and gone. The members have made it blatantly obvious that they will do absolutely nothing that might risk their monolithic dominance. They have absolutely no desire to take even the smallest risk. It's complete lockstep marching.
Look at this recent idiocy with the southern war. Tara and Strombran, Federated, both supporting opposite sides of the same war. Both remain Federated, refusing to even consider any changes in their diplomacy, both happily traveling through each other's lands to attack the other's ally. Complete f'ing abuse of the entire game diplomacy system. Suville could not attack Tara while Tara was free to loot and burn, and manipulate encounter settings to control exactly when and where every battle would happen to ensure they never lost. Strombran did the same thing with Caergoth.
Strombran made it crystal clear that this was exactly the way the war was going to go, and that if Suville tried to do anything different, Strombran would abandon them and Suville would get wiped out. No doubt Caergoth was in the same boat.
I know there is talk within the league on an OOC level to change things, but what'll happen with that I don't know.
Nothing will happen. It's too late. They had their chance, and did everything possible to prevent it. There is absolutely no reason to believe that anything different will happen this time.
In the meantime we can try to change things a bit ourselves. So far in Caergoth we've seized every opportunity for war, after the realm was pretty much dead and have seen our noble count double. Now Suville offers a new chapter in the southern war, let's see what that will lead us. I refuse to give up faith 
Good luck with that.
We won?! 
... Is there a prize? 
Yes. You get the entire island all to yourself. Enjoy.
Time will heal this again, but this time... do we have time?
Nope.
Player base is shrinking,
The player count, especially in non-League realms is dropping like a rock. There are 200 characters left on AT. 150 of them are firmly in the League's pocket. (Talerium, CE, Tara, Strombran, Grand Duchy of Wayburg) I'm counting GDW as on the League's side, since they have already acknowledged that they have no choice but to side with the League. If they try to side with Suville against the League, they get wiped instantly, and everyone knows it.
The remaining realms include Caergoth, Suville, ML, and Rieleston. I have no reason to believe that Caergoth will take an active role against the League, or any reason to believe that most of Suville will go along with direct war against the League. And even if they do, so what? CE and Talerium are easily handling ML/Riel in the north: 86 v. 27. Strombran/Tara/GDW could no doubt handle Suville and Caergoth in the south: 61 v. 34. Even if GDW swaps sides and joins Caergoth/Suville, that 53 v. 42. A stray CE army every now and then makes short work of everything.
boredom has always and would eventually this time too create new at least some sort of conflicts and eventually it would rotten CE/Tara block as well.
So... who's going to be the one to break step? Talerium with all the former Darkans? You guys had the chance when Hemmings was ruler of CE. Neither CE nor Talerium would pull the trigger. CE kicked him out and put a more conservative ruler in his place. CE/Strombran had the chance when Tara was going rogue a while back. They didn't pull the trigger then. And Strombran had the chance just now with the southern war. They were too scared to even temporarily leave the federation to declare war on Caergoth.
At every opportunity to create internal strife and make a more dynamic island the League has point blank refused to even consider it. They continually double down at each and every chance.
In the past, there was always opposition to the League at all corners. But now Darka is gone from the north, and they've all joined Talerium, which is a staunch and steadfast League member. They may not be federated, but that's just paperwork. They are League through and through. Minas Leon in the northeast is under attack by both Talerium and CE. Suville has been broken in the south. Strombran betrayed Suville and stole an entire duchy, and Wayburg seceded to side with Tara.
The conflicts created through boredom have always come from outside the League, never from within. But now, there's no one left outside the League who could possibly create any meaningful conflict. The war in the south was already the last stab.
