I'd argue, but I recently paused one of my AT characters. Something that will come out of this war is a vastly reduced Carelia. I expect Suville will manage to take Wayburg (sorry Roderian) and with MS ruling Carelia I don't expect CE to stop fighting for terms any less than what was given to Falasan. And we know how that turned out. So there is a result.
I'm interested to see what will happen when the new estate system hits stable. A lot of the reasons/excuses for not taking lands off of other realms has predominantly been focused on insufficient nobility to hold the territory in question. Will new realms pop up, or previously small one's like Coria taking on more lands?
My guess has been and is that CE will try start a new realm in Strombran. They have to have a plan for how they want this to end and that seems a reasonable start to it. Suville is expanding (Abington?) and there's a new Theocracy in town down between Tara and Caergoth. Eston is doing a fair job of doing damage to Talerium, though its certainly no rollover since Darka continues to trek a mad distance to fight a day or two. Sordnaz is 86 and you have to wonder how long can he actually live? That question will answer the question of other fairly ancient members of the Barony, so its not unlikely that change will happen there too. Dictators and monarchs being replaced generally see some change to foreign policy, after all.
Atamara is the definition of a "stable" continent. Things haven't really changed the last few years, but there have been small changes. Comparible to other continents? Hah. But that's because other continents have seen power shifts far more regularly. CE's bloc remains diligent and while I've a character on the other side now, I can't and won't complain that things haven't changed. Most people play in their character's best interests and CE won't let themselves be torn apart just to make it more fun for others. They're not short nobles, lands, allies or military ability. They don't want change and they're right not to. They're on the top of the world (well, island) and if they can stay there, that's because they're doing what they should be doing.
Me? I think that the rulers of Atamara secretly support CE's continued rulership of the continent. If they truly wanted rid of CE, I believe it could be done. But Suville stepped out of the war. Caergoth created a new realm and hasn't been up to much in the way of fighting (though have made far more effort than Suville ever did while they were involved). Eston won't attack Coria (or vice versa) and Darka won't attack Talerium (or vice versa). I haven't paid too much attention to the lakeside war, so I can't say that the northern realms up there are failing to push, but what do they hope to do, march through the realm that was specifically built to provide a buffer to CE? If you think about it, Coria's nothing but a long chokepoint that any northern army will have to fight their way through.
But yeah, heading towards a rant and I've got stuff to do IRL. Is Atamara dead? Nah. Is Atamara likely to change much in the coming year? Less than other continents and the central powers that be are unlikely to be weakened or destroyed.
My take on the whole thing. Not quite a rant, but not a spiel either. Ah well.
Finn.
P.S. Okay, just saw the length. Maybe a rant.
