I imagine telling who's winning from stats alone would be difficult, and if we let the players say who's winning, we'll end up with 20-page threads of people from each side arguing. Nineteen of those pages would be from Chenier.
Well, i don't know. Its pretty objective to determine whether one side is winning, or its a current stalemate. I'd find it hard to argue against saying CE's faction on Atamara is slightly winning, but still highly stalemated.
Just as Pian en Luries is not going to deny that they are losing to Luria Nova and Solaria.