You're the Overseer for the first year, so do what you think is best
And gives us screenshots with the thought process so we can enjoy the fruition of your plans, one way or the other...
Hmmm *looks through the list* I'll take the risk and go for "Ducim Nishabod: Competent Marksdwarf, Competent Dodger, Competent Ambusher, Novice Swimmer"