So you didn't use total Dwilight production, you used total CURRENT production? Stats page doesn't give you 100% production values?
I used current production only to determine food production growth, for I have no idea what the food production graph actually means. I did assume, however, that the 125% production ratio was meant on current production, and not maximum production/maximum consumption, which may have been a mistake. My production values are taken from the 125%, from Ban, and from the (population's) consumption value, which is easy to determine.
Well thats a very misleading number. I believe that we need that much, but you make it sound like we need to buy that much. Unfortunately, I can't use the food report to check the numbers for awhile, as far as checking total production values with the seasonal changes to check how much of a deficit we will have, as I am sailing up to Iashalur.
I'm not convinced it's so misleading. Not much longer left to Fall, then we drop to 25% before going up to 75% production. About 80% of the days left before summer have a production modifier below 100%, which in itself is also insufficient. Because at 25%, even rural regions like Maeotis will consume more than they produce. And then there's rot, especially since many of our regions lack granaries since the Long Winter broke them all apart.
What I gave you was pure consumption, without the production. I don't have access to the production values, you do. Maybe you can estimate how much food the realm will produce in the next 52 days or so?
Typically, ignoring rurals would seriously be misleading. But in D'Hara, with our granary problems, rarity of rurals, and poor condition of most of them, it's not as bad. But yea, as I said, please send me all of the realm's production values, so I can put them in my realm-level model and crunch a few more numbers.