When Asylon first took lands in the east, Swordfell had just about half of their regions (and about 3/4 of the nobles). Despite the Alliance with Morek, Swordfell has offered amnesty to the migrants and has sat on the sidelines because it has always had a tenuous grip on its lands because of rogues (even before the event spawns). Plus, have you ever tried to get a bunch of nobles to betray their large mother realm? Not even I could stir that pot enough.
Density might help change that, but I know the war package will. Swordfell has been PvsE for too long, and it needs to join the PvP game. The thing is, it was Niselur (Asylon's ally) who left Asylon high and dry.
The "cards" just didn't seem to land right here. I think there was a reasonable chance, but coordination broke down. Mixed with entrenched powers, it might have not been capable even if more of the cards had landed right.
