Carna's rant...
A fairly good assessment, I believe.
Unfortunately, despite the Allies best efforts the outcome is looking less and less bright. Indeed, CE's hold over the island may end up even stronger than it was. At this point I wouldn't be surprised to see new CE colony's in both the North and the South as a result of the this.
With the south now an utter and ineffectual mess, I am finding myself holding onto little hope at this point.