Itau secedes to form a new realm.. Interesting move, I'll be curious to know what the relations between the Caerwyn and Itau will be like.
Unfortunately, there appear to be some serious bugs affecting the secession. I'm not sure Itauland will survive long enough to actually have any kind of a relationship with anyone.
I know very little about how that wars going? Has Caerwyn been able to turn it around at all or are the SA armies continuing to make headway? And what effect has winter had on everything?
No, they have not. But they still have a chance to get it together. There's still some time left in winter, and then time for armies to march.
As for the effects of winter, it slows everything down. No one really marches to attack in winter. Also, Golden Farrow is apparently starving. Pop keeps dropping.