I will tell you this.Darka has already beat all the odds of surviving .I mean imagine a realm that almost never had a war on personal level while it has battled almost half realms of Atamara, if not all and still owns the same power it was born with.
Yes it is a fact that at some point a war will be unleashed towards Darka and that will be when the real conflicts have ended and this Continent reaches the balance it should have in both sides.Atamara ALWAYS worked like that.Small realms got sacked fast ,then buffer zone realms followed..then big forces such as Abby and Falasan for ex bringing the result everyone was expecting ....huge overpowered realm and unbalanced sides.
Most wars if not every single one of them was predicted for those who were members of the Continent for a long time.Seriously no surprise in any of the realm deaths that took part so far.Darka WILL face a war at a point ,mostly when it 's only allies grow weak day by day but that will happen only when major issues of the Continent are settled and certain realms received what they believe they deserve.
For example right now the problem is CE.That will take a while to settle.In the process though many alliances will suffer internally and that will burst more wars in the near future.Be sure that Darka will always be the last target because as arrogant as it may look..some people know where it's vulnerable and believe that the moment they decide to bring it down,it will be achieved.
So far Darka survived because it served well those that now hold the power.CE and Tara that is.They almost fought all their wars with the Darkan Army on their side.Once we decided to aid another side for a change under payment of course then all the threats reached our way.They were mostly "sit boy" threats.But no one attacked because their real conflicts came first and because Darka was always a good asset in any army for a good victory.
You are wrong in believing that knowing the previous politics doesn't count mostly when many realms in atamara have realm Veteran players and characters still in charge..Talerium...BoM...Carelia..Tara...and Darka ,you would be surprised...politics almost never change in Atamara because there are strong bonds behind many realms.There are people who pull strings but sometimes..it is not enough.
In poor words...in order for Darka's capital to be shacked the rest of Atamara must become a continent full of peace and love.That's what i mean.Also give yourself the benefit of the doubt because sometimes you sound very arrogant to the point it makes your opinion weak.
On the fun part of this conversation i will tell you this :I ve heard in Atamara several scenarios of betrayal that gave hope to people and in the end,they all proved them wrong.And when i gave that 5% of course i didn't mean Coria...i would give Coria invading Darka's capital a -5% chance and even that would be extremely generous
